Members Login
Username 
 
Password 
    Remember Me  
Post Info TOPIC: Week 3 picks

Kick Asser

Status: Offline
Posts: 85
Date:
Week 3 picks


Last week: 10-6, Locks: 3-0


Titans @ Dolphins. Dolphins -11
Jaguars @ Colts. Jaguars +7
Redskins @ Texans. Texans +4
Packers @ Lions. Lions -6.5
Jets @ Bills. Jets +5.5
Bengals @ Steelers. Steelers -2.5
Panthers @ Buccaneers. Panthers -3
Bears @ Vikings. Vikings +3
Ravens @ Browns. Ravens -6.5
Giants @ Seahawks. Seahawks - 3.5
Eagles @ 49ers. 49ers +6
Rams @ Cardinals. Cardinals -4.5
Broncos @ Patriots. Patriots -7
Falcons @ Saints. Falcons -3

Locks: Lions -6.5, 49ers +6

__________________

Head Dick

Status: Offline
Posts: 462
Date:

Here's the one's we differ on:


Steelers (-2.5) - I like the other side in that one


49ers (+6) - It's a BIG rebound game for my BIRDS, and I like them to come up BIG (in fact EAGLES are my suicide pick this week)


Patriots (-7) - I seem to be smelling upset in this game!


I kind of like the Skins and the Bills a little as well, but not as strongly as these.


I STRONGLY agree with you on the Jags, Vikes, and Softhawks.  I think the Panthers and Falcons are good bets as well.  The other games I don't really feel that strongly about on either side.



__________________

Kick Asser

Status: Offline
Posts: 85
Date:

You should take Detroit this week and save the Eagles for when they play the Titans in November.

__________________

Mr. Big Nuts

Status: Offline
Posts: 67
Date:

the one  that's jumping out for me is cats-bucs, w/ or w/o s. smith, they look to smother bucs O-line and what do ya know, the bucs defense it gettin old, showing they can be gashed in the run game that's what carolina will be lookin to showcase more and more--- panthers straight up.

-- Edited by timmy1 at 12:51, 2006-09-22

__________________

Head Dick

Status: Offline
Posts: 938
Date:

Titans @ Dolphins. Dolphins -11 This is Dauntes game to give away...and even if he wrapped in a bow tie, knocked on Jeff fukn Fishers door and personally gave it to him, they couldn't lose this game outright. After an 0-2 start Saban will be looking for a little brilliance in his offense. Saban doesn't appear to be the type who cares to quell his critics by allowing his team to roll up points at will just for the sake of doing it. That, and Daunte Culpepper could give this game with the spread to your bookie.  Always be weary of the double digit spread in the NFL, especially with struggling quarterbacks. And be double weary with coaches like saban, who just doesn't seem to give a fuk what people say about anything regarding his team...he just cares about winning. And, backdoor bullsh1t prevent defense last minute shenanigans will more often foil these games for you...the Dolphins aren't a very aggressive team, and appear largely emotionless. So I don't see them getting excited and just racking points up at will. I will take the Dolphins in this one at -11 if I had to bet it, but I would save your money. Just remember when you look at these big spreads and lick your chops that no team has ever lost every single game in a season.



Jaguars @ Colts. Jaguars +7 Every year its the same fukn thing. Peyton Manning rolls into Jag week lights out....aces...then he plays the jags and looks like Kyle fukn Orton Drunk. Be weary of this game if Freeny is out. Be weary of this game if Freeney is in. Look at the last few years. It's an odd trend, but a trend nonetheless. Peyton Manning hasn't done well against the Jags, no matter what state either team is in at the time. Every year this game looks like such a steal, and every year the Jags find a way to stick it squarely in everyones a$$ Should Peyton Manning beat the piss out of these guys? Yes. Will he? Well he hasn't. I'm just going to go against my better judgement and stick with the trend. I will not place a wager on this game however. Trends are made to be broken...not on my dime though.



Redskins @ Texans. Redskins all day----With portis back the run will be established. More time will come off of the clock, and I suspect Brunnell will feel less pressure and be way more effective than without Portis. Noone had to respect the run whatsoever. Just sit back, watch ledell Betts run into the back of his own tackle and relax. The lack of an established run has crushed Brunell this year. Expect Washington to turn up the heat in this game. Again, I like teams with something to prove. They tend to want to silence their critics by issuing an a$$ whooping not to letting up. The electric "We're back and it feels good" feeling this weekend will keep the energy in the game until the final minutes. They will try to strike hard and early to try distance themselves from their opponents. Call it insurance, call it chest puffing whatever. The Skins Defense should begin to show its true colors this weekend. The box will be empty this weekend. The game will have to be won by the Texans with precision passing to well covered recievers....Um yah. I don't fukn think so either. Get a fukn running back you losers.



Packers @ Lions. Lions -6.5 I too like the lions in this game. Kevin Jones (forget the fumbles) is a good back, and very hard to tackle. Rember the PAcker o-line....Rookies will be defending against Shaun Rodgers....there will be a lot of pickoffs in this game and a lot of sacks for the Lions. that means lots of points will stack up fast. And noone withing 200 miles of Green bay or Detroit can cover Roy williams....he's a fukn beast.


Jets @ Bills. Bills +5.5 Though the Jets have shown some offensive prowess, their lack of a run game will hurt them here. The Bills D is the real Deal. No run game and trying to air it out will prove disastrous for Pennington this week...though...dick Jauron is an offensive loser. He's like a swarm of locusts. Everywhere he goes, the offense dies. How long can that trend last? Losman isn't that bad and has some nice weapons. He's going to get it together for a few games a year...this is one of them.


Bengals @ Steelers. Bengals +2.5 5 I just love revenge games. Carson willl want to stick it deep into the a$$ of the Steelers early and often....Roethlisbergers innacuracy wiill be the key to keeping this game close. If it wasn't some little injury that we don't know about that was effecting his throws, then I suspect that this game will be close but the bengals will still win. If his accuracy is due to some injury this game is going to get out of hand early. If leftwich was a better qb (he sails every other pass) that game would have been more lopsided. If housh Plays, now you have R Johnson, C Johnson, housh and Henry lining up.....good luck.



Panthers @ Buccaneers. Panthers -3 Panthers all day. Roethlisberger got hit by a car, Simms looks like he was hit by a truck. Now that Simeon rice is injured.... The D that was keeping the other team from scoring 50 points rather than 25 is majorly effected. Carolina, with Smith or not will dispatch tampa handily. Tampa appears to be resingned to the fact that they suck. Carolina just doesn't believe it. Both teams will play with that attitude respectively. This line is going to jump to 3.5 or more. If you can buy in at 3, then do it now. Don't catch a Sunday morning book hook.


Bears @ Vikings. Bears -3 all fukn day Did I mention that I love revenge games. Grossman got hurt here. This is our only division rival. Expect him to pour it on hot and heavy. This is the Bears first statement game. Hutchinson Should keep Tommie harris in check, opening up throwing lanes over the middle,  just as with Roy williams this last weekend but good luck moving the ball downfield going over the middle all day. Mike Brown and MAnning are real Boomers. Travis Taylor is horsesh1t. Marcus Robinson is a possession rcvr. You will see alligator arms this week. The Bears D is 100% healthy. And our O can finally move a ball. As Brad is an emotionless guy making tiddly winks with nothing to lose and nothing to prove, hes not going to go out an try to air it out on the Bears. That still doesn't mean hes not going to give the ball up....Plus, Minnesot just barely beat two teams that were missing 14+ points from the scoreboard from 2 players in Portis and Smith. If either of those two could have either played in the game in the capacity which was needed (portis), or played period...Minnesota would be 0-2 and this game wouldn't be such a big deal.



Ravens @ Browns. Ravens -6.5 Ravens all day. Mcnair's coming out party this weekend. This one is going to be really ugly. With Mccutcheon gone (the only defender worth a fuk up there) they are in big trouble. Don't expect that conservative bullsh1t that they have been feeding the first two teams.



Giants @ Seahawks. Seahawks - 3.5 Tough Tough Game Save your money. Giants can score, so can the hawks. If Alexanders wheel is hurt....that is bad bad news for the hawks obviously, as hasselback has proven that he cannot shoulder the offensive load alone..Sometimes the giants play d too....Tough part about this game is betting against a very good team that should be 2-0. If the line is still at 3.5 and you are taking the hawks....buy it down. If alexander doesn't play it will likely be a gametime announcement, and the line will be off. I suspect due to the announcement of his injury this week that the line is going to creep down under 3 regardless of whether he plays or not. Stay away from this game. Great game to watch sh1t game to bet. You might as well just flip a coin with your book for 100$


Eagles @ 49ers. Eagles Ok everyone, jokes over, now it's time for reality. We now see that it wasn't St Louis D that stymied Plummer, it was Plummer that stymied Plummer, and we all know that Arizona's Defense just doesn't exist. Welcome to reality San Fancisco. Don't put too much weight in Kearses departure. The Eagles D-line depth, coupled with the fact that He has largely been a non-factor since his last foot injury (the one that he left Tennessee with). Frank Gore is about to get his roll slowed. There will be no 70yrd bombs to Bryant. Frustration will be ripe in the air. Smith is good, but welcome to pressure....he hasn't seen it yet....I'm betting that he will have a few hiccups when faced with it. And Mcnabb is fukn poppin. Don't give Mcnabb the ball a few extra times! Mcnabb is going to roll up some serious yardage in this game and quiet the place down early.


Rams @ Cardinals. Cardinals -4.5 I like the cards in this one. Warner is looking good...though I don't believe he will last the season (5 sacks last week alone). The Rams just had the starter opposite Little go awol WTF????...Cards are going to absolutely peter roll the Rams. The Rams conservative approach on offense this year will continue to be foiled by Bulgers inability to hang onto the ball and not throw 3 interceptions per game. even when trying to be conservative. He has not and appears largely incapable of doing that. This should be a higher scoring affair.


Broncos @ Patriots. Broncos +7 Plummer started as slow last year as he did this year. Plummer will pick up the pace this sunday and show up. I am predicting an outright win for the Broncos this weekend. More of a gut feeling then based upon fact.


Falcons @ Saints. Falcons -3 NEWS FLASH-----The Saints are a 2-0 hoax Cleveland and the Packers...nailbiters...Welcome to the real world. Brees is good, but his defense will be swiss cheese this weekend. He just will not muster up enough offense to counteract the Falcons D this weekend. I like the option that Mora has instituted. It will work well until Vick gets his head taken off or knees bent in half. But for now he's healthy, and it works very well, when they're not forcing him to throw. His running is setting up the light throwing. Falcons....alll fukn day with this spread.


 


My Mother in law picks for the week are ( I'd bet my motherinlaws house on them)


Falcons


Bears


Ravens


Panthers



__________________

Kick Asser

Status: Offline
Posts: 85
Date:

Yea Gobears, McNabb is F'n poppin....





-- Edited by The Truth at 13:23, 2006-09-22

__________________

Head Dick

Status: Offline
Posts: 938
Date:


Garcia and Mcnabb....Poppin



__________________

Kick Asser

Status: Offline
Posts: 85
Date:

I would have gone with Andy Reid and McNabb

__________________

Head Dick

Status: Offline
Posts: 938
Date:

GoBearsGalason wrote:



Titans @ Dolphins. Dolphins -11 This is Dauntes game to give away...and even if he wrapped in a bow tie, knocked on Jeff fukn Fishers door and personally gave it to him, they couldn't lose this game outright. After an 0-2 start Saban will be looking for a little brilliance in his offense. Saban doesn't appear to be the type who cares to quell his critics by allowing his team to roll up points at will just for the sake of doing it. That, and Daunte Culpepper could give this game with the spread to your bookie.  Always be weary of the double digit spread in the NFL, especially with struggling quarterbacks. And be double weary with coaches like saban, who just doesn't seem to give a fuk what people say about anything regarding his team...he just cares about winning. And, backdoor bullsh1t prevent defense last minute shenanigans will more often foil these games for you...the Dolphins aren't a very aggressive team, and appear largely emotionless. So I don't see them getting excited and just racking points up at will. I will take the Dolphins in this one at -11 if I had to bet it, but I would save your money. Just remember when you look at these big spreads and lick your chops that no team has ever lost every single game in a season.



Jaguars @ Colts. Jaguars +7 Every year its the same fukn thing. Peyton Manning rolls into Jag week lights out....aces...then he plays the jags and looks like Kyle fukn Orton Drunk. Be weary of this game if Freeny is out. Be weary of this game if Freeney is in. Look at the last few years. It's an odd trend, but a trend nonetheless. Peyton Manning hasn't done well against the Jags, no matter what state either team is in at the time. Every year this game looks like such a steal, and every year the Jags find a way to stick it squarely in everyones a$$ Should Peyton Manning beat the piss out of these guys? Yes. Will he? Well he hasn't. I'm just going to go against my better judgement and stick with the trend. I will not place a wager on this game however. Trends are made to be broken...not on my dime though.



Redskins @ Texans. Redskins all day----With portis back the run will be established. More time will come off of the clock, and I suspect Brunnell will feel less pressure and be way more effective than without Portis. Noone had to respect the run whatsoever. Just sit back, watch ledell Betts run into the back of his own tackle and relax. The lack of an established run has crushed Brunell this year. Expect Washington to turn up the heat in this game. Again, I like teams with something to prove. They tend to want to silence their critics by issuing an a$$ whooping not to letting up. The electric "We're back and it feels good" feeling this weekend will keep the energy in the game until the final minutes. They will try to strike hard and early to try distance themselves from their opponents. Call it insurance, call it chest puffing whatever. The Skins Defense should begin to show its true colors this weekend. The box will be empty this weekend. The game will have to be won by the Texans with precision passing to well covered recievers....Um yah. I don't fukn think so either. Get a fukn running back you losers.



Packers @ Lions. Lions -6.5 I too like the lions in this game. Kevin Jones (forget the fumbles) is a good back, and very hard to tackle. Rember the PAcker o-line....Rookies will be defending against Shaun Rodgers....there will be a lot of pickoffs in this game and a lot of sacks for the Lions. that means lots of points will stack up fast. And noone withing 200 miles of Green bay or Detroit can cover Roy williams....he's a fukn beast.


Jets @ Bills. Bills +5.5 Though the Jets have shown some offensive prowess, their lack of a run game will hurt them here. The Bills D is the real Deal. No run game and trying to air it out will prove disastrous for Pennington this week...though...dick Jauron is an offensive loser. He's like a swarm of locusts. Everywhere he goes, the offense dies. How long can that trend last? Losman isn't that bad and has some nice weapons. He's going to get it together for a few games a year...this is one of them.


Bengals @ Steelers. Bengals +2.5 5 I just love revenge games. Carson willl want to stick it deep into the a$$ of the Steelers early and often....Roethlisbergers innacuracy wiill be the key to keeping this game close. If it wasn't some little injury that we don't know about that was effecting his throws, then I suspect that this game will be close but the bengals will still win. If his accuracy is due to some injury this game is going to get out of hand early. If leftwich was a better qb (he sails every other pass) that game would have been more lopsided. If housh Plays, now you have R Johnson, C Johnson, housh and Henry lining up.....good luck.



Panthers @ Buccaneers. Panthers -3 Panthers all day. Roethlisberger got hit by a car, Simms looks like he was hit by a truck. Now that Simeon rice is injured.... The D that was keeping the other team from scoring 50 points rather than 25 is majorly effected. Carolina, with Smith or not will dispatch tampa handily. Tampa appears to be resingned to the fact that they suck. Carolina just doesn't believe it. Both teams will play with that attitude respectively. This line is going to jump to 3.5 or more. If you can buy in at 3, then do it now. Don't catch a Sunday morning book hook.


Bears @ Vikings. Bears -3 all fukn day Did I mention that I love revenge games. Grossman got hurt here. This is our only division rival. Expect him to pour it on hot and heavy. This is the Bears first statement game. Hutchinson Should keep Tommie harris in check, opening up throwing lanes over the middle,  just as with Roy williams this last weekend but good luck moving the ball downfield going over the middle all day. Mike Brown and MAnning are real Boomers. Travis Taylor is horsesh1t. Marcus Robinson is a possession rcvr. You will see alligator arms this week. The Bears D is 100% healthy. And our O can finally move a ball. As Brad is an emotionless guy making tiddly winks with nothing to lose and nothing to prove, hes not going to go out an try to air it out on the Bears. That still doesn't mean hes not going to give the ball up....Plus, Minnesot just barely beat two teams that were missing 14+ points from the scoreboard from 2 players in Portis and Smith. If either of those two could have either played in the game in the capacity which was needed (portis), or played period...Minnesota would be 0-2 and this game wouldn't be such a big deal.



Ravens @ Browns. Ravens -6.5 Ravens all day. Mcnair's coming out party this weekend. This one is going to be really ugly. With Mccutcheon gone (the only defender worth a fuk up there) they are in big trouble. Don't expect that conservative bullsh1t that they have been feeding the first two teams.



Giants @ Seahawks. Seahawks - 3.5 Tough Tough Game Save your money. Giants can score, so can the hawks. If Alexanders wheel is hurt....that is bad bad news for the hawks obviously, as hasselback has proven that he cannot shoulder the offensive load alone..Sometimes the giants play d too....Tough part about this game is betting against a very good team that should be 2-0. If the line is still at 3.5 and you are taking the hawks....buy it down. If alexander doesn't play it will likely be a gametime announcement, and the line will be off. I suspect due to the announcement of his injury this week that the line is going to creep down under 3 regardless of whether he plays or not. Stay away from this game. Great game to watch sh1t game to bet. You might as well just flip a coin with your book for 100$


Eagles @ 49ers. Eagles Ok everyone, jokes over, now it's time for reality. We now see that it wasn't St Louis D that stymied Plummer, it was Plummer that stymied Plummer, and we all know that Arizona's Defense just doesn't exist. Welcome to reality San Fancisco. Don't put too much weight in Kearses departure. The Eagles D-line depth, coupled with the fact that He has largely been a non-factor since his last foot injury (the one that he left Tennessee with). Frank Gore is about to get his roll slowed. There will be no 70yrd bombs to Bryant. Frustration will be ripe in the air. Smith is good, but welcome to pressure....he hasn't seen it yet....I'm betting that he will have a few hiccups when faced with it. And Mcnabb is fukn poppin. Don't give Mcnabb the ball a few extra times! Mcnabb is going to roll up some serious yardage in this game and quiet the place down early.


Rams @ Cardinals. Cardinals -4.5 I like the cards in this one. Warner is looking good...though I don't believe he will last the season (5 sacks last week alone). The Rams just had the starter opposite Little go awol WTF????...Cards are going to absolutely peter roll the Rams. The Rams conservative approach on offense this year will continue to be foiled by Bulgers inability to hang onto the ball and not throw 3 interceptions per game. even when trying to be conservative. He has not and appears largely incapable of doing that. This should be a higher scoring affair.


Broncos @ Patriots. Broncos +7 Plummer started as slow last year as he did this year. Plummer will pick up the pace this sunday and show up. I am predicting an outright win for the Broncos this weekend. More of a gut feeling then based upon fact.


Falcons @ Saints. Falcons -3 NEWS FLASH-----The Saints are a 2-0 hoax Cleveland and the Packers...nailbiters...Welcome to the real world. Brees is good, but his defense will be swiss cheese this weekend. He just will not muster up enough offense to counteract the Falcons D this weekend. I like the option that Mora has instituted. It will work well until Vick gets his head taken off or knees bent in half. But for now he's healthy, and it works very well, when they're not forcing him to throw. His running is setting up the light throwing. Falcons....alll fukn day with this spread.


 


My Mother in law picks for the week are ( I'd bet my motherinlaws house on them)


Falcons


Bears


Ravens


Panthers




And to clarify the Indy Jackson game. Every Yeary the colts (now matter how good they are) fuk up one their games with Jacksonville. Don't let Payton Manning's outright stats vs Jville sway you. .
-- Edited by GoBearsGalason at 13:20, 2006-09-23


-- Edited by GoBearsGalason at 13:21, 2006-09-23

__________________

Head Dick

Status: Offline
Posts: 462
Date:

Well, the Colts swept the Jags last year (they beat them at home in Week 2 10-3 and in Jacksonville later in the year 26-18).  I agree Peyton doesn't play particularly well against them but somehow, the Colts have gotten the job done.


I read Vic Carucci's "Burning Questions for Week 3" page on NFL.com and he thinks what could make the difference in this one is the Colts ability to convert on 3rd down (and I'd have to admit that I saw this in the Giants game).  Only time will tell to see how successful they are at doing so against this defense.


As far as betting this game, I would CERTAINLY take the Jags +7, because I really think that their D and BIG receivers will keep them in this game.  Although I do see the Colts winning a 17-14 type of game, it would not shock me ONE bit if the Jags are able to pull this one out.



__________________

Head Dick

Status: Offline
Posts: 938
Date:

I'm speaking in terms of the spread, not as to what the real outcome of the game was.

__________________

Kick Asser

Status: Offline
Posts: 93
Date:

im looking to lay some scratch tomorrow morning and i lost my bar bookey connection... anybody know of a couple legit online sites... i know of bodog.com, but i don't like their line on the iggles, fluctuating between -6 1/2 and-7 when i know most casinos are still at -6 (im obviously taking the birds first and foremost) thinking about a few others....

-- Edited by hark44 at 02:27, 2006-09-24

__________________

Kick Asser

Status: Offline
Posts: 77
Date:

I'll be waiting with baited breath for the week 4 picks. Let's see, I'm glad i didn't take the points and the Lions or the 49'rs. I guess they weren't locks

but I agreed with everything when you printed it. and look at the bright side, you were 50% right

__________________
leroy

Kick Asser

Status: Offline
Posts: 85
Date:

LeRoy wrote:

I'll be waiting with baited breath for the week 4 picks. Let's see, I'm glad i didn't take the points and the Lions or the 49'rs. I guess they weren't locks

but I agreed with everything when you printed it. and look at the bright side, you were 50% right





Yea I was wrong. Pathetic week.

But atleast I can admit when I'm wrong, unlike someone who will remain nameless.

__________________
Page 1 of 1  sorted by
 
Quick Reply

Please log in to post quick replies.

Tweet this page Post to Digg Post to Del.icio.us


Create your own FREE Forum
Report Abuse
Powered by ActiveBoard